Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 203rd strongest of the 378 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 7:02PM EDT until March 16 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC
An estimated 1,529,428 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 52 · 0.0 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 3.0 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 52 · 4.3 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 35.7435, -78.6268 |
| Nearest City | Raleigh (3 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.5M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T23:02:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b146279784167b28a943e1dd5e0dfdea |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cumberland, NC; Durham, NC; Franklin, NC; Granville, NC; Harnett, NC; Johnston, NC; Nash, NC; Sampson, NC; Vance, NC; Wake, NC; Warren, NC; Wayne, NC; Bladen, NC; Columbus, NC; Robeson, NC; Dillon, SC; Horry, SC; Marion, SC; Lunenburg, VA; Mecklenburg, VA; Prince Edward, VA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 7:02PM EDT until March 16 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Raleigh NC |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T19:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Raleigh NC |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b146279784167b28a943e1dd5e0dfdea857ff0d6.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9052ba074903346cfd0163273b4ae7a3897a1a5e.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3de777491c23e64adcfb6ca3fc73fb99126a3f44.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | UNK |
| Spc Location | 5 WNW Fearrington |
| Spc County | Chatham |
| Spc State | NC |
| Spc Comments | Tree down at Tobacco Road and Lamont Norwood Road. (RAH) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 5 NNW Bynum |
| Iem County | Chatham |
| Iem State | NC |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Raleigh?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Raleigh (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.